Zimbabwe’s Political Instability Could Strain South Africa’s Resources

Protests against Mnangagwa’s third term threaten cross-border tensions

by Ikeoluwa Ogungbangbe
Zimbabwe political instability could strain South Africa's resources and regional trade ties.

KEY POINTS


  • Zimbabwe’s political unrest could lead to more economic refugees in South Africa.

  • South Africa faces growing strain on resources due to Zimbabwe’s instability.

  • Regional trade ties between South Africa and Zimbabwe may suffer due to political turmoil.


As political instability continues to grow in Zimbabwe, particularly within the ruling Zanu-PF party, South Africa could face new challenges. Calls for President Emmerson Mnangagwa to step down are increasing, with the recent push for his third term.

Many Zimbabweans are considering fleeing to South Africa for better opportunities, despite rising deportations from the country.

South Africa’s public services and infrastructure may feel the strain if this trend continues, especially as Zimbabweans seek refuge due to economic hardships and political turmoil.

Zimbabweans seek refuge in South Africa amid growing uncertainty

Unemployment, poverty, and a lack of basic services in Zimbabwe are pushing citizens to look for opportunities in South Africa, NewZimbabwe reported.

Despite reports of deportations more than tripling since 2020/21, many Zimbabweans see South Africa as a land of opportunity. As political bickering in Zimbabwe intensifies, citizens like Sothini Ncube, a qualified psychologist, express frustration and desperation, citing a lack of government effort to alleviate poverty and deteriorating conditions.

South Africa should brace for an influx of migrants as Zimbabwe’s political crisis deepens.

Zimbabwe’s political bickering could damage regional trade ties

South Africa’s trade relationship with Zimbabwe is vital, as Zimbabwe is South Africa’s biggest trade partner and gateway to Africa.

Political instability in Zimbabwe could disrupt business ties and regional cooperation. Zimbabwe’s ruling party, Zanu-PF, has experienced fractures, especially since last year’s conference when motions were proposed to extend Mnangagwa’s presidency.

These internal divisions have caused significant uncertainty, and Mnangagwa’s recent changes to the country’s security apparatus only add fuel to the fire, further complicating regional relations.

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